Decline in Iran's groundwater recharge.

Groundwater recharge feeds aquifers supplying fresh-water to a population over 80 million in Iran-a global hotspot for groundwater depletion. Using an extended database comprising abstractions from over one million groundwater wells, springs, and qanats, from 2002 to 2017, here we show a significant decline of around -3.8 mm/yr in the nationwide groundwater recharge. This decline is primarily attributed to unsustainable water and environmental resources management, exacerbated by decadal changes in climatic conditions. However, it is important to note that the former's contribution outweighs the latter. Our results show the average annual amount of nationwide groundwater recharge (i.e., ~40 mm/yr) is more than the reported average annual runoff in Iran (i.e., ~32 mm/yr), suggesting the surface water is the main contributor to groundwater recharge. Such a decline in groundwater recharge could further exacerbate the already dire aquifer depletion situation in Iran, with devastating consequences for the country's natural environment and socio-economic development.

A new spatial estimation model and source apportionment of aliphatic hydrocarbons in coastal surface sediments of the Nayband Bay, Persian Gulf.

Hydrocarbons, originating from oil and gas industries, are considered a potential risk for Nayband Bay, a natural marine park with extended mangroves, located on the north coastlines of the Persian Gulf, Iran. This paper determines the potential sources and spatial distribution of hydrocarbons, especially aliphatic hydrocarbons (AHCs), in Nayband Bay through the simultaneous application of three indices in the coastline surface sediments. To this end, a field study was conducted in the inter-tidal coastal zones and wetlands. Sediment samples were taken from surface layers along four transects with four sampling points at different distances from the gulf. The hydrocarbon compounds of the samples including AHCs, total petroleum hydrocarbons, and heavy metals (Ni, V as crude oil indicators) were analyzed and classified to discover the pollution indicators. Pearson pairwise correlation and cluster analyses along with pollution indices were employed to describe the spatial distribution pattern of hydrocarbons, identify hot spots, and determine the potential origin of AHCs. Different interpolation scenarios based on topographic and oceanic features were proposed to detect the spatial dynamics of AHCs. The results revealed that hydrocarbons mainly originated from anthropogenic sources including oil and gas industries located far from the affected area. It was also concluded that the long-distance pollution transfer was based on oceanic currents and wind direction in the bay. The proposed scenarios showed that the mean concentration values of total organic carbon and total organic material vary in the range 0.19 ppm to 0.4 ppm and 2.88 ppm to 3.20 ppm, respectively.

Anthropogenic Decline of Ancient, Sustainable Water Systems: Qanats.

Qanat is an ancient underground structure to abstract groundwater without the need for external energy. A recognized world heritage, Qanat has enabled civilization in arid and semi-arid regions that lack perennial surface water resources. These important structures, however, have faced significant challenges in recent decades due to increasing anthropogenic pressures. This study uses remote sensing to investigate land-use changes and the loss of 15,983 Qanat shafts in the Mashhad plain, northeast of Iran, during the past six decades. This entails obtaining a rare aerial imagery from 1961, as well as recent satellite imagery, over a region with the highest density of Qanats in Iran, the birthplace of Qanat. Results showed that only 5.59% of the Qanat shafts in 1961 remained intact in 2021. The most prominent Qanat-impacting land-use changes were agriculture and urban areas, that accounted for 42.93 and 31.81% Qanat shaft destruction in the study area, respectively. This study also showed that groundwater table decline, demographic changes, and reduction in the appeal of working in the Qanat maintenance and construction industry among the new generation are existential threats to Qanats, and may result in the demise of these ancient structures in the future. Findings of this study can be used for urban planning in arid and semi-arid areas with the aim of protecting these historic water structures.

Effect of wind speed variation on rainfed wheat production evaluated by the CERES-Wheat model.

Climate is one of the major factors affecting crop phenology and yield. In most previous studies, impacts of temperature (T) and rainfall (R) on crop development, growth, and yield were investigated, while the effect of wind speed (WS) has so far not been assessed. In this study, the influence of WS alteration on rainfed wheat production was evaluated in arid and semi-arid environments during a 25-year period in northeast Iran. In so doing, various climatic scenarios were defined using T, R, and WS changes, and then applied to the CERES-Wheat model included in DSSAT v4.7.5. The results showed that WS variation can alter total ET (planting to harvest) from -12.1 to +8.9%, aboveground biomass from -8.4 to +11.0%, water use efficiency from -13.4 to +19.7%, and grain yield from -11.2 to +15.3%. These changes were in many cases related to the climatic conditions. It was also revealed that in a greater amount of rainfall and shorter growing season (i.e., less drought stress), the WS variation had the stronger impact on total ET; while for aboveground biomass, water use efficiency, and grain yield, the greatest effect of WS variation was detected under the water scarcity conditions (i.e., low rainfall). The results demonstrate that wind speed needs to be better considered in climate change impact studies, in particular in water-scarce regions.

Anthropogenic depletion of Iran's aquifers.

Global groundwater assessments rank Iran among countries with the highest groundwater depletion rate using coarse spatial scales that hinder detection of regional imbalances between renewable groundwater supply and human withdrawals. Herein, we use in situ data from 12,230 piezometers, 14,856 observation wells, and groundwater extraction points to provide ground-based evidence about Iran's widespread groundwater depletion and salinity problems. While the number of groundwater extraction points increased by 84.9% from 546,000 in 2002 to over a million in 2015, the annual groundwater withdrawal decreased by 18% (from 74.6 to 61.3 km3/y) primarily due to physical limits to fresh groundwater resources (i.e., depletion and/or salinization). On average, withdrawing 5.4 km3/y of nonrenewable water caused groundwater tables to decline 10 to 100 cm/y in different regions, averaging 49 cm/y across the country. This caused elevated annual average electrical conductivity (EC) of groundwater in vast arid/semiarid areas of central and eastern Iran (16 out of 30 subbasins), indicating "very high salinity hazard" for irrigation water. The annual average EC values were generally lower in the wetter northern and western regions, where groundwater EC improvements were detected in rare cases. Our results based on high-resolution groundwater measurements reveal alarming water security threats associated with declining fresh groundwater quantity and quality due to many years of unsustainable use. Our analysis offers insights into the environmental implications and limitations of water-intensive development plans that other water-scarce countries might adopt.

Complex dynamics of water quality mixing in a warm mono-mictic reservoir.

Cycling of water quality constituents in lakes is affected by thermal stratification and homo-thermal conditions and other factors such as oligotrophication, eutrophication, and microbial activities. In addition, hydrological variability can cause greater differences in water residence time and cycling of constituents in man-made lakes (reservoirs) than in natural lakes. Thus, investigations are needed on vertical mixing of constituents in new impounded reservoirs, especially those constructed to supply domestic water. In this study, sampling campaigns were conducted in the Sabalan reservoir, Iran, to investigate vertical changes in constituent concentrations during the year in periods with thermal stratification and homo-thermal conditions. The results revealed incomplete mixing of constituents, even during cold months when the reservoir was homo-thermal. These conditions interacted to create a bottom-up regulated reservoir with sediment that released settled pollutants, impairing water quality in the Sabalan reservoir during both thermal stratification and homo-thermal conditions. Analysis of total nitrogen and total phosphorus concentrations revealed that the reservoir was eutrophic. External pollution loads, internal cycling of pollutants diffusing out from bottom sediments, reductions in inflow to the reservoir, and reservoir operations regulated vertical mixing and concentrations of constituents in the Sabalan reservoir throughout the year.

Temporal metal concentration in coastal sediment at the north region of Persian Gulf.

The purpose of this article is to study, result of metal concentration in two-sediment cores from Persian Gulf. Age of sediment is determined by C14 isotope method and bulk concentration is determined by ICP. This research output shows that, age of BandareAbbas core back to 9660 and Bushehr core to 15,600 years ago. Also,concentration in BandareAbbas and Bushehr cores respectively change as, As (1.08-11.76 Vs 5.2-13.09), Ba (15.03-129.5 Vs 73.9-120.4), Cd (0.09-0.46 Vs 0.09-0.18), Li (5.66-58.5 Vs 15.3-33.4), Mo (0.3-0.75 Vs 0.3-0.8), Mg (7928.4-15,503.9 Vs 13,102.8-17,227.8), Mn (110.6-566.4 Vs 279.3-429.1), Na (8905.47-27,993.3 Vs 9357.7-27,541.4), Ni (13.3-110.3 Vs 37.1-88.4), Pb (0.5-42.5 Vs 2.5-13.6), Sr (407.5-1773.2 Vs 440.3-1596.9), Zn (13.05-71.2Vs22.4-50.5), Fe (0.46-4.07 Vs 1.7-3.18), Ca (9.25-23.3 Vs 13.8-19.2) and Al (0.62-8.15 Vs 2.48-4.65). Moreover different pollution index investigation represent that except Ca, the rest of the metal elements do not show pollution.